Arsenal vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Sunderland
İNLK
2-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNP
1-4
HT 0-1
Arsenal
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Sunderland
FAK
Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Sunderland 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Arsenal had 49% of the ball to Sunderland's 51%, shots finished 16-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Arsenal and 0.83 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 72%, draw 19%, Sunderland 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.