Burnley vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-2
HT 1-2
West Ham United
İNP
Burnley 0-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United beat Burnley 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burnley had 54% of the ball to West Ham United's 46%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.34 to 0.69 — on chances, Burnley could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burnley and 1.67 for West Ham United.
What was the final score of Burnley vs West Ham United?
Burnley 0-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs West Ham United?
Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burnley 31%, draw 23%, West Ham United 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.