Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bournemouth v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth and Aston Villa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (57%) didn't.
Under the surface, Bournemouth had 53% of the ball to Aston Villa's 47%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.06 to 0.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 2.33 for Aston Villa.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 35%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 went the other way.