Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa ran out comfortable winners over Bournemouth 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Aston Villa's favour, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.70 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Aston Villa against 1.00 for Bournemouth.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Result & Final Score
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 43%, draw 29%, Bournemouth 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.