Brentford vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brentford v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Brentford vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Brentford
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
1-2
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
Brentford 3-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford got the better of Newcastle United 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Brentford had 49% of the ball to Newcastle United's 51%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.35 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brentford and 2.33 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of Brentford vs Newcastle United?
Brentford 3-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brentford vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brentford 43%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.