Newcastle United vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Brentford
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
Newcastle United 2-3 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford nicked a narrow win over Newcastle United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle United had 54% of the ball to Brentford's 46%, shots finished 16-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Newcastle United and 1.83 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Newcastle United 2-3 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 47%, draw 24%, Brentford 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.