Wolverhampton 1-3 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.8
Away Pick
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.15
Over
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.17
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
20%
2.95
6+
12%
8.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.17 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.27
1/2
11%
21.15
1/X
5%
16.45
X/1
6%
10.8
X/2
22%
4.28
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.02
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Chelsea win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.10/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.00
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 86%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
18.3 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chelsea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.23 xG 2.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 504
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 3-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
29.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-4 HT 0-3 Chelsea Chelsea İNLK
20.01.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 3-1 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
25.08.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-6 HT 2-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
04.02.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-4 HT 1-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-3
AWAY Chelsea
1.04 xG 3.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 694
84% Pass Accuracy 93%
24 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea saw off Wolverhampton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 34% of the ball to Chelsea's 66%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.04 to 3.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 3.17 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Chelsea?

Wolverhampton 1-3 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 19%, draw 22%, Chelsea 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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İNP More England - Premier League
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