PEC Zwolle 1-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Feb 2026

PEC Zwolle
1-2 HT 1-1
Volendam
📅07/02/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PEC Zwolle vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.09
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
12%
5.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.15
2/2
6%
7.74
2/X
8%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.01
-30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.0 Crosses 16.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

PEC Zwolle vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Volendam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
442 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
10.03.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.12.2023 Volendam Volendam 0-5 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
08.07.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ
28.07.2017 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HAZ
05.03.2012 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2

PEC Zwolle 1-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-2
AWAY Volendam
0.77 xG 2.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 219
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam edged past PEC Zwolle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. PEC Zwolle carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 58% of the ball to Volendam's 42%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.77 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Volendam's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.50 for Volendam.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Volendam?

PEC Zwolle 1-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 56%, draw 27%, Volendam 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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