NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen ran out comfortable winners over Heracles 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 68% of the ball to Heracles's 32%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.49 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for Heracles.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles?
NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 68%, draw 20%, Heracles 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.