Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.23
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
12%
6.47
X/2
11%
5.56
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.0
2/2
30%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.55/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.18
-22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
22.7 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
29.03.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.09.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
30.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.01.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2-2
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.92 xG 1.34
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 13
253 Passes 498
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard and Sparta Rotterdam shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 35% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 65%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.83 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 31%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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