Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
21%
4.63
X/2
12%
8.07
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
6.09
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.56/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.58
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.5 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.56 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.09.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
30.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.01.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
29.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.84 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
448 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 61% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 39%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.33 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 50%, draw 21%, Fortuna Sittard 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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