Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 22 Nov 2025

Heracles
4-2 HT 1-2
Go Ahead Eagles
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.55
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
9%
5.95
X/2
19%
6.12
X/X
8%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
24.85
2/2
16%
3.72
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.44
+34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.2 Crosses 18.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.99
49% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
318 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Heracles Heracles 4-2 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
06.10.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
15.03.2024 Heracles Heracles 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
12.01.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
23.01.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
4-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.63 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
298 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles got the better of Go Ahead Eagles 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Heracles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Heracles had 46% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 54%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.63 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heracles and 2.00 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Heracles 37%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
22 Nov 2025
18:30 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →
20:45 Ajax vs Excelsior Analysis →
20:45 Volendam vs Twente Analysis →
23:00 Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →