Volendam 2-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 27 Sep 2025

Volendam
2-1 HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.36
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
16%
5.67
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.26
X/X
8%
5.14
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
18%
3.91
2/X
8%
12.35
Value flag · X/2 at 6.26 — our 17% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +26%
1.88/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.52
+25% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.4 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Volendam vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
1W-3D-2L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 2.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 451
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.03.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.12.2023 Volendam Volendam 0-5 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
08.07.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ
28.07.2017 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HAZ
05.03.2012 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
16.09.2011 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Volendam 2-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
2-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.96 xG 1.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
205 Passes 423
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volendam vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam edged past PEC Zwolle 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 37% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 63%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.96 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Volendam and 2.17 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Volendam vs PEC Zwolle?

Volendam 2-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Volendam 36%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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