Heracles 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 27 Sep 2025

Heracles
3-0 HT 1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.4
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.68
X/2
13%
6.1
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
2/2
26%
3.79
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
35%
+8.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.27
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.4 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.01.2025 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
11.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
06.04.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
02.12.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.05.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
21.08.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
3-0
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.33 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles swept aside Sparta Rotterdam 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Rotterdam at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Heracles had 48% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 52%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.33 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Heracles and 1.17 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Heracles 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Heracles 34%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
27 Sep 2025
17:30 Ajax vs NAC Breda Analysis →
19:45 Volendam vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
21:00 Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →