Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Correcaminos UAT — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Correcaminos UAT — Actual Match Statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos edged past Correcaminos UAT 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 64% of the ball to Correcaminos UAT's 36%, shots finished 11-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.33 for Correcaminos UAT.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 68%, draw 16%, Correcaminos UAT 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.