Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Venados
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Venados 3-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Actual Match Statistics
Venados and Alebrijes de Oaxaca shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Venados at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Venados had 66% of the ball to Alebrijes de Oaxaca's 34%, shots finished 16-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Venados and 1.67 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Venados 3-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Venados 53%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venados) went the other way.