Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Mar 2024

Ajax
0-0 HT 0-0
Aston Villa
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2023/2024

Ajax vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.08
1/2
5%
21.85
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
10%
7.73
X/2
17%
4.72
X/X
14%
5.51
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
29%
2.56
2/X
4%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 5.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Ajax vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
The Meetings
23.10.2008 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajax Ajax AVL

Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
0-0
AWAY Aston Villa
0.84 xG 0.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
435 Passes 271
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax and Aston Villa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ajax had 60% of the ball to Aston Villa's 40%, shots finished 4-4, expected goals 0.84 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Aston Villa?

Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ajax 26%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aston Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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