Olympiakos 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 32% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.8
X/2
10%
11.15
X/X
13%
5.77
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
7%
8.58
2/X
7%
16.7
Value flag · X/1 at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 2
05.08.2010 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos AVL
29.07.2010 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-4
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.10 xG 2.04
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
438 Passes 217
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 23
37 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv swept aside Olympiakos 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 64% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 36%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.10 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olympiakos and 1.00 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Olympiakos 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 52%, draw 25%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 24%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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