Union Saint-Gilloise 0-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.5
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
16%
5.83
X/X
18%
4.56
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.96
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.62/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.34
+40% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.0 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
0-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.95 xG 1.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
333 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fenerbahçe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 51% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.95 to 1.76.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Fenerbahçe?

Union Saint-Gilloise 0-3 Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 34%, draw 28%, Fenerbahçe 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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