Chesham United 4-0 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.62
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
0.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.66
-38% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
22.03.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
20.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 1-2 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.03.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
15.03.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
4-0
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United ran out comfortable winners over Weston-super-Mare 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chesham United had 49% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chesham United and 1.17 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Chesham United 4-0 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 49%, draw 23%, Weston-super-Mare 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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