Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.23
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
12.04.2025 Chester Chester 2-1 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
05.11.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
11.11.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 3-0 Chester Chester İCON
01.04.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
08.10.2022 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
POST-MATCH Chester vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester edged past Darlington 1883 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chester and 1.33 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Chester vs Darlington 1883?

Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chester 43%, draw 24%, Darlington 1883 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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