Burgos 2-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.43
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
19%
4.12
X/2
8%
7.66
X/X
16%
3.69
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
9%
6.93
2/X
6%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.9 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mirandes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
325 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 0-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
26.04.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
13.10.2024 Burgos Burgos 0-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
09.12.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
23.04.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-0
AWAY Mirandes
0.56 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
314 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos got the better of Mirandes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Burgos had 49% of the ball to Mirandes's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 1.17 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Mirandes?

Burgos 2-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Burgos 49%, draw 30%, Mirandes 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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