Trans Narva 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.99/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
27.05.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-2 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.10.2024 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.09.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool squeezed past Trans Narva 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Trans Narva 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 52%, draw 25%, Harju Jalgpallikool 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trans Narva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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