Mazatlan 4-2 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 7 Mar 2026

Mazatlan
4-2 HT 2-1
Leon
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Mazatlan vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.03
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.59
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.58
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.04
6+
14%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mazatlan v Leon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon The Market 48%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.35/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.29
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.8 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mazatlan vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2025 Leon Leon 2-2 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
01.02.2025 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-2 Leon Leon MEK
06.11.2024 Leon Leon 0-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
31.01.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-2 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
19.08.2023 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
25.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK

Mazatlan 4-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
4-2
AWAY Leon
2.16 xG 1.15
36% Ball Possession 64%
19 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
237 Passes 510
77% Pass Accuracy 92%
22 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mazatlan vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mazatlan beat Leon 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match lean was Leon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came home.

Under the surface, Mazatlan had 36% of the ball to Leon's 64%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.16 to 1.15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mazatlan and 1.67 for Leon.

Mazatlan vs Leon Result & Final Score

Mazatlan 4-2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mazatlan vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 32%, draw 25%, Leon 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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