Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Necaxa v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Necaxa 0-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM found just enough to beat Necaxa 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 36% / 23% / 41% read, it was Pumas UNAM who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Necaxa had 48% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 52%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.38 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pumas UNAM's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Necaxa and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.
Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Result & Final Score
Necaxa 0-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 36%, draw 23%, Pumas UNAM 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.