Gzira United 1-0 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
34%
+12.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.19/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.08
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2026 Gzira United Gzira United 3-2 HT 2-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
06.01.2026 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.08.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 5-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
19.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
08.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-4 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
25.08.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Hibernians FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gzira United and 3.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Gzira United 1-0 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 29%, draw 25%, Hibernians FC 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernians FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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