Zabbar St. Patrick 5-3 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 29%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.49/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.48
-1% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Mosta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2025 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
24.10.2025 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
29.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MALTP
27.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 4-2 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
5-3
AWAY Mosta
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick beat Mosta 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 56% of the ball to Mosta's 44%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 2.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

Zabbar St. Patrick 5-3 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 41%, draw 28%, Mosta 31%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5
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