Fulham U21 1-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-4.3pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.90
-100% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 9.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham U21
1-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
402 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 and Manchester City U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Fulham U21 had 57% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 43%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Fulham U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Fulham U21 1-1 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fulham U21 41%, draw 24%, Manchester City U21 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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