Sunderland U21 2-3 Tottenham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.4pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.54
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tottenham U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.70 xG 2.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
332 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
29.08.2023 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 3-2 HT 2-1 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
2-3
AWAY Tottenham U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
291 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Tottenham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 squeezed past Sunderland U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tottenham U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 44% of the ball to Tottenham U21's 56%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tottenham U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sunderland U21 and 3.00 for Tottenham U21.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Sunderland U21 2-3 Tottenham U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 37%, draw 23%, Tottenham U21 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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