Everton U21 3-4 Norwich City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Everton U21 win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.3pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.28/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.68
+0% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.4 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
3-4
AWAY Norwich City U21
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
254 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Norwich City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City U21 squeezed past Everton U21 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Everton U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Everton U21 had 49% of the ball to Norwich City U21's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Everton U21 3-4 Norwich City U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Norwich City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 52%, draw 23%, Norwich City U21 25%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Everton U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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