Newcastle United U21 7-1 Reading U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.99
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 23.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
7-1
AWAY Reading U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
337 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Reading U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 ran out comfortable winners over Reading U21 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 47% of the ball to Reading U21's 53%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Reading U21?

Newcastle United U21 7-1 Reading U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Reading U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 45%, draw 24%, Reading U21 31%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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