Manchester United U21 3-3 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No OUR CALL
53%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.8pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.33/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.97
-1% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +127%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.76 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
399 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
3-3
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
549 Passes 232
92% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 and Nottingham Forest U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 67% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 33%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Manchester United U21 3-3 Nottingham Forest U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 46%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest U21 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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