Istra 1961 1-3 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
0.94/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.97
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
12.5 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.10.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
15.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.11.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-3
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.19 xG 2.08
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
220 Passes 559
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 45
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hajduk Split beat Istra 1961 3-1 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 7 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 32% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 68%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.19 to 2.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.33 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split?

Istra 1961 1-3 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 18%, draw 22%, Hajduk Split 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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