Hajduk Split 1-2 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.44/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.4 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-3 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
15.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.11.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
25.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-2
AWAY Istra 1961
2.18 xG 1.21
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
399 Passes 201
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Istra 1961 edged past Hajduk Split 2-1 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25 Jan 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 63% of the ball to Istra 1961's 37%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.18 to 1.21.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Hajduk Split 1-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 57%, draw 22%, Istra 1961 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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