Istra 1961 0-3 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.09/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.17
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
13.2 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
250 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
15.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.11.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
25.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-3
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.26 xG 1.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
308 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split swept aside Istra 1961 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 51% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 49%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.26 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split?

Istra 1961 0-3 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 29%, draw 26%, Hajduk Split 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
19 Oct 2025
19:15 HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Analysis →