HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 1-3 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin saw off HNK Gorica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; NK Varazdin found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 59% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.97 to 3.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Gorica and 0.83 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Gorica 1-3 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated an NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 37%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.