NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NK Varazdin 1-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin and HNK Gorica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was NK Varazdin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 64% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 36%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.61 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.17 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin 1-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 51%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.