Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aston Villa 4-0 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa dismantled Nottingham Forest 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Aston Villa had 51% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 49%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.74 to 0.79.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aston Villa and 1.33 for Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Result & Final Score
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nottingham Forest in the UEFA Europa League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 54%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.