Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2024

Nijerya
1-1 HT 0-1
Güney Afrika
📅07/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Nijerya vs Güney Afrika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.64
Over 2.5
32%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.46
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 39% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.9pp
35%
Draw
26%
+9.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijerya v Güney Afrika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.88/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.32
-42% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.0 Crosses 9.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Nijerya vs Güney Afrika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Güney Afrika
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.77 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
264 Passes 468
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 1-1 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
10.07.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
17.11.2018 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 1-1 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
10.06.2017 Nijerya Nijerya 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
29.03.2015 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya HAZ
19.11.2014 Nijerya Nijerya 2-2 HT 0-1 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK

Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
1-1
AWAY Güney Afrika
0.89 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
414 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Güney Afrika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya and Güney Afrika couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nijerya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Nijerya had 57% of the ball to Güney Afrika's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nijerya and 1.33 for Güney Afrika.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Güney Afrika?

Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Güney Afrika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 48%, draw 35%, Güney Afrika 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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