Barcelona 2-2 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
16%
5.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.88
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.43
X/2
14%
6.62
X/X
11%
6.57
2/1
6%
21.05
2/2
18%
3.76
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.20/3.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.57
+38% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
5.8 Crosses 13.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Milan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
648 Passes 306
92% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona HAZ
05.08.2018 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona HAZ
06.11.2013 Barcelona Barcelona 3-1 HT 2-1 Milan Milan ŞMP
22.10.2013 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona ŞMP
12.03.2013 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 2-0 Milan Milan ŞMP
20.02.2013 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
2-2
AWAY Milan
1.72 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
444 Passes 434
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona and Milan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona had 51% of the ball to Milan's 49%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.72 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barcelona and 0.83 for Milan.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Milan?

Barcelona 2-2 Milan in the Friendlies on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 38%, draw 23%, Milan 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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