Nantes 1-1 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.6
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.80/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.05
-50% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lorient
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
368 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.09.2023 Nantes Nantes 5-3 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
02.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes HAZ
12.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
11.09.2022 Lorient Lorient 3-2 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.07.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-1
AWAY Lorient
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes and Lorient shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nantes had 52% of the ball to Lorient's 48%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nantes and 1.50 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Lorient?

Nantes 1-1 Lorient in the Friendlies on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantes 38%, draw 29%, Lorient 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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