Sturm Graz 2-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2024

Sturm Graz
2-2 HT 2-2
PSG
📅07/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2024

Sturm Graz vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.42
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.2
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
11%
9.43
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
15%
6.8
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.08
2/X
5%
15.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.2 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.05/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/1.44
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 6.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sturm Graz 2-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-2
AWAY PSG
1.24 xG 1.06
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
298 Passes 601
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz and PSG shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was PSG at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 35% of the ball to PSG's 65%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.24 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs PSG?

Sturm Graz 2-2 PSG in the Friendlies on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 24%, draw 25%, PSG 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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