Lugo 0-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-10.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.13
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
225 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-1 HT 2-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
08.12.2022 Lugo Lugo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
02.01.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
30.10.2021 Lugo Lugo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
10.05.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
04.01.2021 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo and Sporting Gijon played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Lugo had 38% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 62%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lugo and 1.17 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Sporting Gijon?

Lugo 0-0 Sporting Gijon in the Friendlies on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lugo 22%, draw 31%, Sporting Gijon 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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