Kitchee 1-6 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
9.57
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
55%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.0
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
43%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
6%
+20.4pp
19%
Draw
7%
+11.8pp
55%
Away Win
87%
-32.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 94%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.57/3.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.32
+8% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +52%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
258 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
4.0 Crosses 19.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
1-6
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.14 xG 4.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 3
333 Passes 479
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Kitchee 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 42% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 58%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.14 to 4.34.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Atletico Madrid?

Kitchee 1-6 Atletico Madrid in the Friendlies on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 26%, draw 19%, Atletico Madrid 55%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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