Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 28%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.56/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.97
-60% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
25.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
28.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-0
AWAY Suduva
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past Suduva 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 44% of the ball to Suduva's 56%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.17 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 48%, draw 26%, Suduva 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ BTTS Yes
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