Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
4.73
X/2
11%
7.92
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.35
2/2
10%
5.76
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.35 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+4.9pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.12
+13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.7 Crosses 23.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 0.40
63% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
468 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.05.2026 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.02.2026 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.10.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
04.07.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-2
AWAY Dundalk
2.66 xG 1.72
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
302 Passes 256
30 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Dundalk 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.66 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.67 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 54%, draw 19%, Dundalk 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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