Altrincham 4-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over Pick
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.4
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.48
6+
9%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.35
X/2
7%
7.38
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
16%
5.48
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.01/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.98
+26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
23.09.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 6-1 HT 4-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
16.01.2010 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.08.2009 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
31.03.2009 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
04.10.2008 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
4-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham ran out comfortable winners over Ebbsfleet United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Altrincham had 49% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 51%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Altrincham and 0.67 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Ebbsfleet United?

Altrincham 4-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 42%, draw 29%, Ebbsfleet United 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham)
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