Honduras 4-0 Trinidad & Tobago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Honduras EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Trinidad & Tobago EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.57/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.32
+33% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
21.2 Crosses 7.1
0.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Honduras
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Trinidad & Tobago
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2019 Honduras Honduras 4-0 HT 3-0 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago CON
11.10.2019 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago 0-2 HT 0-0 Honduras Honduras CON
02.09.2017 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago 1-2 HT 0-2 Honduras Honduras DKE
16.11.2016 Honduras Honduras 3-1 HT 2-0 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago DKE
16.07.2013 Honduras Honduras 0-2 HT 0-0 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago GK
06.09.2009 Honduras Honduras 4-1 HT 2-0 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Honduras
4-0
AWAY Trinidad & Tobago
1.52 xG 0.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
519 Passes 294
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 3
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Honduras vs Trinidad & Tobago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honduras swept aside Trinidad & Tobago 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Honduras had 61% of the ball to Trinidad & Tobago's 39%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.52 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Honduras had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Honduras and 0.83 for Trinidad & Tobago.

What was the final score of Honduras vs Trinidad & Tobago?

Honduras 4-0 Trinidad & Tobago in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Honduras vs Trinidad & Tobago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Honduras 58%, draw 23%, Trinidad & Tobago 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Honduras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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