Winterthur 1-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.95
2-3 Goals
34%
2.21
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.9
1/2
7%
18.25
1/X
5%
18.6
X/1
6%
15.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
4.35
X/X
11%
8.43
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
23%
1.63
2/X
5%
16.35
Value flag · X/2 at 4.35 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 71%
+18% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.09/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.86
+37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
13.2 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Basel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.66 xG 2.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 472
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Basel Basel 3-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.07.2025 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur HAZ
30.03.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.11.2024 Basel Basel 5-0 HT 3-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
26.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-6 HT 0-3 Basel Basel İSV
16.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-2
AWAY Basel
3.24 xG 2.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
27 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 9
255 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
48 Box Touches 50
22 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Winterthur 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Winterthur had 43% of the ball to Basel's 57%, shots finished 27-19, expected goals 3.24 to 2.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Winterthur and 3.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Basel?

Winterthur 1-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 21%, draw 21%, Basel 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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