HNK Gorica 1-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.30
+32% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.1 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 414
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
18.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
28.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
18.02.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
04.11.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.08.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
1-0
AWAY Osijek
0.89 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
256 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Gorica squeezed past Osijek 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day HNK Gorica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 47% of the ball to Osijek's 53%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for Osijek.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Osijek?

HNK Gorica 1-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 33%, draw 27%, Osijek 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osijek), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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